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20th
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Atlantic disturbance still disorganized.

Posted by Dave Osterberg under Daily updates

24 hours later and 98L still looks a bit disorganized. avn-l3In fact a couple of the computer models have now backed off on developing it. There are still a few that do and they eventually move it WNW, then NW and into the open Atlantic.  As of early Sunday morning the National Hurricne Center still gives this a moderate chance for development. atl_overview5models_storm5

Remnants of Fred continue to spark convection from time to time east of the Bahamas. As this moisture moves West or WNW its chances are low for development. huir1

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