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Wednesdays Tropical Update

Posted by Dave Osterberg under Daily updates

It look like leftover Fred has finally made its way to the lower 48. Color me impressed that any moisture from this system actually made it all the way to the US. The good thing is it never re-organized as it did. So the southeast coast of the US will have to deal with a little extra moisture for the next couple of days.fl-mcx_1 Elsewhere, it is very quiet. You see some convection firing up south of Cuba but that is not expected to develop.caribbean_ir_sat_13 And all the way out to the coast of Africa there are nothing more than clusters of clouds and none of them are expected to develop.eastern_atlantic_ir_sat_12  None of the reliable computer models are developing anything over the next few days.

As we get into October, the focus for developing tropical systems usually shifts to the Caribbean and Gulf. The only thing that does concern me a bit is that water temps all over the Gulf are still in the mid 80s. It’s something to watch and we will keep an eye on it.

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