MyFoxHurricane.com blog

Invest 94L in the western Caribbean

Posted by Paul Dellegatto under Daily updates

Persistent clouds and showers over the Western Carribean Sea, a few hundred miles east of the Nicaraguan coast, show no signs of development. There are no indications of a low level circulation, but there are some signs that one may be trying to develop in the mid layers of the atmosphere. The Western Caribbean is a prime area for development late in the season. All of the ingredients are in place for some slow development,  including deep tropical moisture, warm sea surface temperatures, and moderate shear. The one negative factor is that the eventual center of circulation will be near or over land for the next few days. Only the European model shows an eventual turn to Cuba and south Florida. Development, if any, will be very slow. In all likelihood, we will have plenty of time to watch and monitor the area for development.