MyFoxHurricane.com blog

Watching Invest 95L

Posted by Sheena Parveen under Daily updates

Invest 95L in the Caribbean is looking more favorable for development as it moves West.  Wind shear is relatively low ahead of the tropical disturbance, which will allow for further development.  Water temperatures are also very warm. . . in the mid 80’s.  This tropical wave is fairly unorganized, just a cluster of showers and thunderstorms. 

Computer models are mainly moving it over Central America, then possibly onto the Yucatan Peninsula.  But there are a few models that take this system into the Gulf of Mexico or the Florida Straights into next weekend.

The GFS model is one that moves Invest 95L across the Caribbean, then turning it to the NE, possibly moving it close to Florida.  Right now, this forecast is a long ways away.  The GFS model, as well as other reliable computer models, are developing this system into something stronger through the weekend and next week.

Besides Invest 95L, we are watching Tropical Storm Lisa still.  Lisa posses no threat to the U.S. as of now, and I don’t expect it to.  Currently it is almost stationary just West of the Cape Verde Islands.  Organization is poor and it is barely a tropical storm at this point.

The track for Lisa in the next few days keeps the system stationary.  After that, Lisa will take a W/NW path.  Lisa is also expected to stay at tropical storm strength as it moves across the Atlantic.

Wind shear is looking more favorable ahead of Invest 95L than it does for Lisa  in a few days from now.  Many other computer models are also showing Lisa dissipating in the Atlantic several days from now.